Economic News

In the year to March 2025, the recovery of China - Australia trade has brought good news to the Australian wine and lamb industries. The export value of Australian wine to China has soared by 1.01 billion Australian dollars to 1.03 billion Australian dollars. The return of leading wine companies such as Treasury Wine Estates has been the key driving force, leading to a 41% increase in the total export value of Australian wine to 2.64 billion Australian dollars.

On April 29, the S&P/ASX 200 index in Australia witnessed a significant upswing. It climbed 73.5 points, or 0.92%, to close at 8070.6 points, hitting a new eight - week high. The market sentiment received a boost from the 利好 news of the United States reducing tariffs on auto parts.

The Japanese stock market will be closed on April 29th. As for the Bank of Japan (BoJ), analysts widely anticipate it to maintain its current monetary policy stance in this week's meeting, which exerts downward pressure on the yen's traditional safe-haven properties.

The US economic landscape showed several notable trends in recent data releases. In March, the US merchandise trade deficit ballooned to $162 billion, a 9.6% increase from the previous month and a new all - time high, well above the expected $142 billion. This was mainly driven by businesses "rushing to import" ahead of tariff implementations, which pushed the total import value to $342.7 billion, a 5% year - on - year increase. Consumer goods imports hit a record high, and imports of autos and capital goods also rose significantly.

In the three months to March 2025, Australia's merchandise exports to the US surged more than three - fold year - on - year to A $16.7 billion, creating a trade surplus of A $4.1 billion and reversing a deficit of A $6.2 billion in the same period last year. Driven by the hedging demand triggered by Trump's tariff policies, the export of gold has become a key driving force

Japan's manufacturing sector has been in a continuous slump, with the PMI remaining below the boom - bust line for 10 consecutive months. In April, it recorded 48.7, and the new orders index saw its largest decline in 14 months. Weak demand from China, the US, and Europe, along with US tariff shocks, have significantly hit core export categories such as automobiles and semiconductors.

Despite the Reserve Bank of New Zealand initiating an interest - rate - cutting cycle in August 2024 and the continuous decline in mortgage rates, risks in the housing loan sector are steadily mounting. As of March 2025, the total amount of non - performing housing loans reached NZ$2.412 billion, an increase of NZ$249 million (11.5%) from the beginning of the year.

A study released by France’s National Institute of Statistics and Economic Studies (l'Insee) on Tuesday, July 8, reveals that a quarter of French households reside in severely under-occupied homes—defined as having at least three more rooms than actually needed. This phenomenon affects 7.6 million primary residences, 93% of which are single-family houses, with three-quarters of these under-occupied homes exceeding 100 square meters in size.

On May 3rd, at the annual meeting of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett, the 94 - year - old billionaire investor, expressed his views on the risks of abusing tariffs. He emphasized that "tariffs should not be used as a 'weapon'", and stated that "if other countries become more prosperous, the United States will also become richer".

Canada's Prime Minister Carney has announced the launch of the largest - scale economic transformation since World War II. The core measures include tax cuts for the middle class starting from July (a two - income family can save 825 Canadian dollars annually), the removal of internal trade barriers within the federation, reducing the proportion of temporary workers and international students to less than 5% by 2027

On May 2nd, the S&P/TSX Composite Index in Canada rose 1% to 25,031.51, hitting a one - month high with a weekly gain of 1.3%. The market was boosted by the better - than - expected US employment data, which alleviated recession concerns. Coupled with the easing of trade tensions between China and the US, risk appetite recovered

Japan's economy is expected to have shrunk by 0.2% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, the first negative growth in a year, according to a Reuters poll. The main reasons are weak domestic demand and imports growing faster than exports. Private consumption increased only slightly by 0.1%, as rising food prices curbed spending. Capital expenditure rose by 0.8%, but net exports dragged down GDP by 0.6%.

Tokyo's stock market continued its winning streak on May 2nd, with the Nikkei 225 index closing 378.39 points higher at 36,830.69, a 1.04% increase. This marks the seventh consecutive trading day of gains. The depreciation of the yen against the US dollar buoyed the market, with the export - oriented sectors leading the bulls. The index briefly approached the 37,000 - point mark during the session.

The UK's FTSE 100 index climbed 1.2% on May 2nd, registering its 15th consecutive daily gain and setting a new record for the longest streak of rises in its history. It is now just 3% below its March peak. Global trade tensions have eased, with signs of the US and China reopening negotiations on tariffs, and better - than - expected corporate earnings have boosted market sentiment and risk appetite.

Australia's retail sales in March increased by 0.3% month - on - month and 4.3% year - on - year, expanding for the third consecutive month, indicating the resilience of household consumption. Food retail led the growth with a 0.7% increase, mainly due to the fact that families in Queensland stocked up on necessities in response to Hurricane Alfred, which significantly drove up the transaction volume of this category. However, catering services and department store sales declined by 0.5%, reflecting that non - essential spending is still restrained. There is obvious regional differentiation.

The S&P/ASX 200 index closed 92.4 points higher, or 1.13%, on Friday. Expectations of a possible easing of the China - US trade impasse drove the index to its best weekly performance in nearly two years and to a two - month high. The statement by the Ministry of Commerce that it is "evaluating" the request from US trade officials to launch trade negotiations further boosted investor confidence.